Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 31 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 24 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Beard | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Carson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 15 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 38 | 10-21 | 5-11 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 38 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 27 | - |
| B. Griner | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Briann January | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Peters | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter