Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (94-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vivians | 28 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 25 | 7-20 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 25 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| C. Dupree | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. McCall | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alexander | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Talbot | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Y. Turner | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| B. January | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Peters | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Guelich | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter