Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -9 (92-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| C. Williams | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 16 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Tuck | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 36 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| L. Cambage | 31 | 14-21 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 26 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Hill | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 16 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Romero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter