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2018-08-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Griner 39 10-19 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 22 8 -
B. January 38 3-10 2-6 0-0 4 9 0 0 0 8 11 -
D. Bonner 35 6-18 1-7 7-7 9 3 0 0 0 20 14 -
S. Talbot 34 2-5 2-4 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
D. Taurasi 29 3-8 2-6 3-4 4 2 2 0 3 11 8 -
C. Little 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Mitchell 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Y. Turner 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parker 35 3-11 0-3 8-10 14 8 1 0 2 14 24 -
C. Gray 35 10-17 0-3 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 24 14 -
N. Ogwumike 33 6-14 1-2 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 14 7 -
A. Beard 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
O. Sims 26 3-6 0-1 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
R. Williams 17 3-7 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
E. Carson 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Lavender 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Kliundikova 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter