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2018-08-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 89.1% 10.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Margin 88.6% 11.4% -11.3 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.6% 8.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne * 34 2-9 0-3 1-3 5 2 3 2 0 5 8 -
Kristi Toliver * 34 6-14 4-10 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 16 9 -
LaToya Sanders * 29 7-11 0-0 1-1 5 3 0 2 1 15 13 -
Ariel Atkins * 23 3-11 0-7 4-5 2 3 2 0 2 10 4 -
Natasha Cloud * 22 4-6 4-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 13 14 -
Aerial Powers 19 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 2 2 7 10 -
Monique Currie 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Tianna Hawkins 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 4 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Krystal Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kaela Davis * 38 3-10 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 7 0 -
Kayla Thornton * 31 6-10 4-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 16 14 -
Glory Johnson * 30 4-9 0-1 2-2 11 4 3 0 0 10 19 -
Liz Cambage * 28 8-19 0-3 0-2 14 4 0 0 4 16 11 -
Allisha Gray * 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 5 6 -
Tayler Hill 23 3-10 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -
Azurรก Stevens 19 5-8 0-0 0-1 5 2 1 0 3 10 7 -
Cayla George 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Leticia Romero 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter