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2018-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 โœ“ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +22 (79-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles 28 6-12 0-0 2-3 8 3 0 1 2 14 12 -
M. Moore 25 4-7 0-2 0-1 3 0 2 0 3 8 3 -
Danielle Robinson 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 6 3 0 2 6 12 -
S. Augustus 23 3-9 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 -1 -
R. Brunson 19 3-8 0-1 1-1 5 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
Cecilia Zandalasini 17 4-8 0-3 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
L. Whalen 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Temi Fagbenle 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
A. Jones 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
E. Larkins 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Wright 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Miyem 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray 32 8-14 2-4 0-0 5 9 2 0 0 18 20 -
Candace Parker 30 9-16 2-3 3-5 10 4 2 3 1 23 25 -
A. Beard 30 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 5 1 -
Nneka Ogwumike 28 7-11 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
Odyssey Sims 22 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 4 6 -
E. Carson 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Jantel Lavender 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Williams 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
M. Kliundikova 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Samuelson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sydney Wiese 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter