Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -11 (93-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| B. Griner | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 25 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 17-18 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 29 | - |
| S. Talbot | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 35 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 19 | - |
| K. McBride | 33 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Plum | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Young | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Hamby | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Swords | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Bone | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Coffey | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Park | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Nared | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Allen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter