Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (91-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 28 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 28 | 11-20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 27 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| S. Bird | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Paris | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Quinn | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 26 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Briann January | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Guelich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter