Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 31 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Breland | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Monique Billings | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 18 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 14 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 37 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 34 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Candace Parker | 32 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter