Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +26 (94-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 28 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Sanders | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| M. Currie | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 19 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 28 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Tuck | 26 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 25 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 18 | 10-12 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Brown | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter