Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -17 (75-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stricklen | 36 | 8-13 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| C. Williams | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 24 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Tuck | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cambage | 38 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 37 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Johnson | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Cayla George | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter