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2018-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.6 โœ— (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 32 13-23 2-7 3-4 8 1 2 0 1 31 18 -
Jewell Loyd 29 4-11 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 3 -
Alysha Clark 27 1-7 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 3 3 3 -
S. Bird 27 4-7 4-6 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 12 11 -
Natasha Howard 19 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 4 5 -
C. Langhorne 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 4 7 -
Jordin Canada 14 2-9 0-3 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 5 -4 -
Sami Whitcomb 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
C. Paris 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
N. Quinn 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Mercedes Russell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes 31 7-14 1-2 1-2 4 5 0 0 1 16 10 -
Elizabeth Williams 30 7-9 0-0 3-6 8 3 0 2 0 17 21 -
J. Breland 29 3-8 0-0 2-2 8 4 3 0 3 8 12 -
Angel McCoughtry 26 6-12 0-2 4-6 7 3 0 0 2 16 12 -
A. Bentley 24 4-10 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 -1 -
R. Montgomery 23 1-4 0-3 2-3 2 4 0 0 1 4 5 -
Brittney Sykes 16 3-7 0-2 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 7 6 -
Monique Billings 12 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 8 10 -
I. McGee-Stafford 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Blake Dietrick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter