Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| M. Moore | 36 | 12-28 | 2-8 | 12-13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 14 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 32 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| S. Augustus | 29 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Larkins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| T. Wright | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Briann January | 35 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 33 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 9-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| C. Little | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 13 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter