Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 33 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| K. Plum | 29 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Wilson | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| T. Young | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Swords | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Coffey | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Hamby | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Bone | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Park | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Nared | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 11-24 | 4-14 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Robinson | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| B. January | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Y. Turner | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Guelich | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter