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2018-07-19

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brittany Boyd-Jones * 25 3-5 1-1 1-1 7 10 2 0 3 8 19 -
Kia Vaughn * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
Tina Charles * 23 5-12 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 11 4 -
Epiphanny Prince * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 4 2 -
Shavonte Zellous * 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
Bria Hartley 22 2-11 1-7 3-5 3 2 2 0 1 8 3 -
Kia Nurse 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 6 8 -
Kiah Stokes 15 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 2 3 8 7 -
Sugar Rodgers 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Rebecca Allen 15 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 4 -
Amanda Zahui B 14 3-6 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 2 2 7 3 -
Marissa Coleman 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes * 26 7-13 1-4 5-5 2 2 0 0 1 20 10 -
Jessica Breland * 25 3-9 0-0 2-2 12 1 2 1 0 8 15 -
Elizabeth Williams * 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
Angel McCoughtry * 23 2-13 1-5 0-1 6 6 0 0 5 5 -1 -
Renee Montgomery * 20 7-13 7-13 3-4 2 5 3 0 3 24 18 -
Alex Bentley 19 1-11 0-3 4-5 2 1 3 1 1 6 1 -
Brittney Sykes 18 3-9 0-4 1-4 3 1 0 1 1 7 2 -
Imani McGee-Stafford 16 1-9 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
Monique Billings 14 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Blake Dietrick 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter