Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Breland | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 31 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Monique Billings | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 37 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 23 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Tuck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter