Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -19 (64-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 24 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Tuck | 22 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Moore | 25 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| S. Augustus | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 21 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Wright | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| E. Larkins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Miyem | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter