Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne | 36 | 8-22 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Sanders | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 30 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Breland | 26 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 25 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 21 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Bentley | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Monique Billings | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter