Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| B. Griner | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Briann January | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Williams | 35 | 11-20 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 23 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Tuck | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter