Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 38 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 25 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Banham * | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Williams | 27 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Morgan Tuck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter