Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +29 (101-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 31 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Y. Turner | 23 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| B. January | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Guelich | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stevens | 33 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 29 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| G. Johnson | 28 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| L. Cambage | 24 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Gray | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Powers | 18 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| K. Davis | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. George | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Thornton | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Romero | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter