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2018-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.7 ✗ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - ✗

Actual: New York Liberty -10 (87-97). Ratings: 2019 season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glory Johnson * 33 3-9 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 2 3 8 7 -
Kayla Thornton * 31 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 31 9-13 3-5 11-14 7 5 1 0 0 32 32 -
Liz Cambage * 28 7-16 0-1 5-6 12 3 0 1 1 19 18 -
Allisha Gray * 28 5-7 2-4 3-4 2 6 0 0 2 15 14 -
Azurá Stevens 19 5-8 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 2 0 13 12 -
Kaela Davis 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Aerial Powers 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Cayla George 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Leticia Romero 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 32 9-21 2-3 6-7 9 1 0 0 0 26 15 -
Shavonte Zellous * 29 4-9 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 9 6 -
Bria Hartley * 18 0-6 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 2 -1 -
Kia Vaughn * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Epiphanny Prince * 14 4-8 1-4 2-3 0 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
Brittany Boyd-Jones 24 1-2 0-0 6-6 2 5 2 0 1 8 14 -
Sugar Rodgers 18 2-8 1-5 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 6 4 -
Amanda Zahui B 15 5-7 2-3 0-4 4 2 0 1 2 12 10 -
Kiah Stokes 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kia Nurse 12 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Rebecca Allen 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter