Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Robinson | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 18 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Talbot | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 32 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 25 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Breland | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| T. Hayes | 24 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| B. Sykes | 17 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter