Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +4 (94-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Rachel Banham * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 28 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Morgan Tuck | 26 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 36 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 13-24 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JiSu Park | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaime Nared | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter