Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (74-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 13-13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| LaToya Sanders * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ariel Atkins * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Monique Currie | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 32 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Essence Carson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Maria Vadeeva | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter