Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 32 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Banham | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Tuck | 24 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 22 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| B. Jones | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Brown | 7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Y. Turner | 24 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. January | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Robinson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Talbot | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter