Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Victoria Vivians * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 14 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erica McCall | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephanie Mavunga | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 32 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cayla George | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Leticia Romero | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter