Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 31 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 7 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 25 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Candace Parker | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 25 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 35 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 35 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| T. Young | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Nared | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| JiSu Park | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter