Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +16 (94-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jantel Lavender * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 25 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 24 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Maria Vadeeva | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 35 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaime Nared | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| JiSu Park | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter