Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 26 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 23 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Breland | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 18 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 12 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Moore | 28 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| S. Augustus | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 19 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Wright | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Miyem | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter