Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (85-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Imani McGee-Stafford * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 26 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 17 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 12 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 28 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 18 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Endy Miyem | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter