Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.7% | 14.3% | -9.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -18 (77-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Turner | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| B. Griner | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 11-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vivians | 29 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 28 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| C. Dupree | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Alexander | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. McCall | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter