Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 24 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne | 33 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 31 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Sanders | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 21 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Currie | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Hill | 9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter