Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -6 (91-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 40 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Glory Johnson | 20 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Cayla George | 13 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 36 | 14-22 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| JiSu Park * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tamera Young | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jaime Nared | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter