Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 33 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 29 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Taylor | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erica McCall | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Alexander | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 34 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 27 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 21 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Tuck | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter