Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 8-12 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Briann January | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 28 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 32 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Zellous | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter