Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 8-12 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 32 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Zellous | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Nurse | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Stokes | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Prince | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter