Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 24 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| B. January | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Talbot | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Y. Turner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quigley | 37 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| C. Vandersloot | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| D. DeShields | 27 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| S. Dolson | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. Williams | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Faulkner | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Copper | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Coates | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Harper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter