Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -15 (73-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 34 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| R. Brunson | 30 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 27 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| L. Whalen | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| S. Augustus | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Wright | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Kizer | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Miyem | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 31 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| T. Young | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Bone | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| JiSu Park | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Swords | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Nared | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter