Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 33 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Fowles | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Robinson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Wright | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Miyem | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Y. Turner | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Guelich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter