Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 15 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 15 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 33 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| JiSu Park * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tamera Young | 25 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jaime Nared | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter