Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ogwumike | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 29 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 21 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Banham | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Tuck | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Sykes | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Williams | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | - |
| D. Dantas | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Breland | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Billings | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter