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2018-06-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 โœ“ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics +28 (88-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Quigley 31 3-11 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 9 -4 -
Courtney Vandersloot 29 1-9 1-6 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 3 3 -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 27 4-9 0-0 10-12 9 0 1 1 2 18 18 -
Astou Ndour-Fall 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 1 6 10 -
Kahleah Copper 20 5-9 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
J. Faulkner 17 1-8 1-4 0-2 1 4 1 0 2 3 -1 -
Gabby Williams 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
Diamond DeShields 13 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
Alaina Coates 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
A. Montgomery 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Linnae Harper 5 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristi Toliver 27 7-15 1-5 4-4 0 8 2 0 1 19 13 -
Natasha Cloud 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 0 2 10 -
Elena Delle Donne 24 4-11 0-2 6-6 7 4 1 4 0 14 19 -
Ariel Atkins 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 7 4 -
Tianna Hawkins 16 3-8 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
M. Currie 15 4-7 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 1 3 9 3 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 14 2-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 1 1 7 4 -
K. Thomas 14 2-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
L. Sanders 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Myisha Hines-Allen 13 1-3 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 2 0 4 10 -
T. Hill 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -

* = starter