Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -12 (80-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 6-15 | 6-15 | 10-10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Briann January | 30 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 29 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Little | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Robinson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 30 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| T. Young | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Swords | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| JiSu Park | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Bone | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Nared | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter