Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jones | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Tuck | 28 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 22 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Bentley | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| R. Banham | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Y. Turner | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Guelich | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter