Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 30 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. Hartley | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 32 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| R. Brunson | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Wright | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| L. Whalen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Miyem | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter