Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.7% | 18.3% | -8.2 | ✗ (40.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +32 (96-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Breland | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 27 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| E. Williams | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Hayes | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Billings | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Lucas | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 32 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| V. Vivians | 31 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Dupree | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. McCall | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Alexander | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter