Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 33 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 26 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Breland | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Monique Billings | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 33 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 21 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Williams | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter