Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Turner | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Guelich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 38 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 28 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| L. Cambage | 23 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| G. Johnson | 19 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Powers | 19 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Stevens | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter