Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 34 | 7-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 23 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| JiSu Park | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Holmes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Nared | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Swords | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 8-23 | 3-13 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Briann January | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Guelich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter